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Dec 27, 2012
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in. >> overall when we see what's happening in china, so many new brands emerged in china, new companies on the luxury good fronts, and you've had the big conglomerates vogue down their rate and new store openings. watch profitability for luxury companies in 2013. >> okay. r.j., break it down. who do you like for next year? >> in addition to costco and amazon, i like some of the late cycle discretionary plays especially when we see the housing market improve, names like william sonoma and home depot, names that did a great job investing in the supply change, a name like american eagle stands out in that regard. those are probably our top picks heading into 2013. >> jay, what would you avoid? >> anything that's a commoditized retailer. you'll get killed by amazon and other low-cost providers, names like best buy, barnes & noble, any of the office guys. i think most of those names are dead in the water right now and definitely names to avoid at this point. >> dana, any names we missed from you? >> i think you got the names. the key thing for 2013, we need the stability, and we need some de
in. >> overall when we see what's happening in china, so many new brands emerged in china, new companies on the luxury good fronts, and you've had the big conglomerates vogue down their rate and new store openings. watch profitability for luxury companies in 2013. >> okay. r.j., break it down. who do you like for next year? >> in addition to costco and amazon, i like some of the late cycle discretionary plays especially when we see the housing market improve, names like...
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Dec 6, 2012
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the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what we've been enjoying in other markets. that means attractiveness towards luxury brands starts much sooner in those new markets. >> my thanks to the ceo of ppr. >>> tomorrow morning's key jobs report could move your money even before the opening bell rings. we have our panel of wall street's top market pros giving you a leg up on the ore side of this break. stay with us. we're back in a moment on "the closing bell." americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first
the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what...
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Dec 10, 2012
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china's corporate criminals who are often inditing wishable. we don't want to give the chinesing nomic sift apple larger footprint into american capitalism. secondly, this makes a mock rift green energy policies. the main rational for which was we don't want these so-called industries of the future controlled by foreign countries and by foreign companies. and here we are, transferring all of this property over to a chinese company. and there was an american buyer. there was an american buyer. an american-owned option. >> on that point, alan, is there any sensitive technology or information that is going to be given to the chinese through this trance ak. >> that's a great question, mandy. you are broadcasting from northern jersey, right sni think you recently you learned how important electricity grids are, right? when you don't have electrical power bb life becomes very bad. a123 is making product that helps control the electricity grid system. do we want the chinese owning this technology? the possibility for sabotage is after t astro nom cal.
china's corporate criminals who are often inditing wishable. we don't want to give the chinesing nomic sift apple larger footprint into american capitalism. secondly, this makes a mock rift green energy policies. the main rational for which was we don't want these so-called industries of the future controlled by foreign countries and by foreign companies. and here we are, transferring all of this property over to a chinese company. and there was an american buyer. there was an american buyer....
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Dec 24, 2012
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david: it is time to go off the desk and over to china for a huge holiday pillow fight. they blew off some steam with a pillow fight. they had the names of bosses and professors on
david: it is time to go off the desk and over to china for a huge holiday pillow fight. they blew off some steam with a pillow fight. they had the names of bosses and professors on
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Dec 17, 2012
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and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android are catching up. we were just talking there. jon pointing out the other competition out there. stock down 25% in the last three months. you remain bullish though. why? >> i do. i think a lot of the selling has to do with capital gains taxes. i think it was from the 700 level. and then you had another wave of it with long-term capital gains taxes. fears of that after the election we think caused an issue. we think that's why the stock is down. we still think it's quite solid. >> what about the competitive environment? stewart, that's one you've been looking
and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android...
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Dec 28, 2012
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industrials when the economy started to slow due to the blow up in europe and fast-growing markets like china slammed on the brakes with higher interest rates, you got obliterated. how about if you owned too many banks right before the financial crisis hit? i know a lot of people who did, by the way, they had such good yields going into the dotcom bust, where the ruination occurred, something then soured an entire generation of people on investing. spread your money across stocks in related sectors so when something happens and makes one of them go down hard the rest remain relatively unscathed. sometimes you can go higher. your basic diversification is mandatory in cramerica. if you're prepared for anything, not enough to make sure your stocks don't overlap, you need a portfolio that works in all kinds of markets, so tonight i want to explain and refine what i like to call the new diversification, how to protect your wealth and ensure you own something that works in increasingly chaotic, difficult, unforgiving, nauseating miserable market where diversified by sector alone can not be enough.
industrials when the economy started to slow due to the blow up in europe and fast-growing markets like china slammed on the brakes with higher interest rates, you got obliterated. how about if you owned too many banks right before the financial crisis hit? i know a lot of people who did, by the way, they had such good yields going into the dotcom bust, where the ruination occurred, something then soured an entire generation of people on investing. spread your money across stocks in related...
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Dec 5, 2012
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they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which apple is the market leader. then you're going to see blockbuster earnings over the next two quarters. >> all right. we'll leave it there. gentlemen, thank you very much. we'll be watching apple and this market on the possibility for a deal. thanks, gentlemen. see you soon. we're just 26 days away from the fiscal cliff. steve liesman joins us now live from the treasury. he has an exclusive interview with one of the key negotiators at the white house, secretary of treasury timothy geithner. >> maria, thank you. i'm here with the secretary of treasury at a crucial ti
they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which...
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Dec 7, 2012
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it's not going to china because they're becoming uncompetitive. >> exactly. i think a lot of companies are recognizing that the attraction is to do jobs here because it will be able to minimize their risk. there's a lot of concentration overseas particularly in india which historically has been the epicenter of all the i.t. jobs that have gone offshore. >> how much do you think this is going to start creating jobs back here in america. we see companies all the time onshoring as opposed to outsourcing. >> well, more and more and more they're bringing jobs back here. they are aware, if they're able to quantify all the hidden costs, all the indirect costs and they're able to see that it's actually more competitive to have people work here in the united states and in terms of cost, when you analyze all that, you really will see that it's actually about the same or even slightly cheaper to do it here now. >> isn't that kind of -- it's good that we're creating jobs, but isn't that kind of sad in the united states we're saying it is cheaper to do business all-in thi
it's not going to china because they're becoming uncompetitive. >> exactly. i think a lot of companies are recognizing that the attraction is to do jobs here because it will be able to minimize their risk. there's a lot of concentration overseas particularly in india which historically has been the epicenter of all the i.t. jobs that have gone offshore. >> how much do you think this is going to start creating jobs back here in america. we see companies all the time onshoring as...
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Dec 5, 2012
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some of these companies enter into china, enter into india, and you can't just plant a flag. you have to understand the market. it's an exceptional story. >> and for medical? >> this is again because of our ageing market going to be a huge, tremendous growth story over the growth industry over the next 10 to 20 years. >> and she did it without any notes. that's amazing. good job. >> good to see you. thank you so much. we appreciate it. we're in the final stretch of trading. we have a market holding on to gains. 20 minutes before the closing bell sounds. the dow industrial average up 116 points right now. >> citigroup's job cut a big gain for financials today. is citi on the right course right now with these cuts? will the financials lead the market higher or lower this month? we'll look that the coming up. >>> bank of america also up 6% right now. >>> mean while, congress lee leaving for a long weekend. really? yes, they are leaving for a long weekend. they just left. treasury secretary geithner will weigh in exclusively at 4:00 p.m. eastern. [ male announcer ] at scottrade,
some of these companies enter into china, enter into india, and you can't just plant a flag. you have to understand the market. it's an exceptional story. >> and for medical? >> this is again because of our ageing market going to be a huge, tremendous growth story over the growth industry over the next 10 to 20 years. >> and she did it without any notes. that's amazing. good job. >> good to see you. thank you so much. we appreciate it. we're in the final stretch of...
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Dec 6, 2012
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if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >> dennis? >> joe brighton brings up the topic of a generational circumstance. going back a generation to me this reminds me of what happened in the early 1970s when you had the wonderful nifty 50 stocks you were supposed to own forever, all of which are wonderful companies -- >> 1970s or 1870s? >> i look like i was from the 1870s but apple is a wonderful company but not a good stock at this point. you have to be careful here. >> stephanie, what do you do, sitting there at home watching what all of us say as america's best loved stock, most valuable company on earth and watch it fall as far as it's f
if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >>...
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Dec 13, 2012
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the reality is is the rate of growth of china, if you look at the long-term prospects for china, they're extraordinary. you realize that china is just in the first phases of a long-term domestic development. they're building an infrastructure of transportation, building an infrastructure of consumption in so many different parts of the world. it's such -- so many different parts of the country. it's not just what shanghai, beijing does. it's what so many other parts of the world are doing. and i think the long term over the next 20 to 40 cleyears of development for china. >> thanks for coming on. william lauder, talk to you again soon. i mean, china, their overall story, steph, sounds pretty good. >> it does. >> whether it's chip that or here in the united states. do you run with that? >> it's trading at 23 times forward estimate. it's expensive. certainly great double-digit growth. they're doing a great job on margins. based on his comments, look at coach, 12 times forward estimates and they've got a great presence in china and trying to increase their market share. they've got a great
the reality is is the rate of growth of china, if you look at the long-term prospects for china, they're extraordinary. you realize that china is just in the first phases of a long-term domestic development. they're building an infrastructure of transportation, building an infrastructure of consumption in so many different parts of the world. it's such -- so many different parts of the country. it's not just what shanghai, beijing does. it's what so many other parts of the world are doing. and...
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Dec 10, 2012
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advantageous platform for manufacturing other than for china. stuart: do you think many of these jobs will come back, many of them will come back to america? >> many of them will come back to the u.s. austin consulting group says in 2015 you'll see seven industries it will be cheaper to manufacture in the u.s. than china and all sorts of manufacturing deals here. >> what. >> transportation costs are lower. delivery to market is slashed. energy prices are much cheaper. your work force is more productive and less likely to go out on strike. stuart: wait, wait a minute. the work force in america is more productive and less likely to go on strike than china, is that right? >> in china you have one wild cat strike after another, and suicide. and they make the products for apple said 10,000 robots and in 2014 one million. wh you have robot production, that minimizes china's cheap labor. and in california where they have facilities with robots it's just as cheap orrer than a robot in shin sheng. you wait a minute how come you're so wrong, china hasn't
advantageous platform for manufacturing other than for china. stuart: do you think many of these jobs will come back, many of them will come back to america? >> many of them will come back to the u.s. austin consulting group says in 2015 you'll see seven industries it will be cheaper to manufacture in the u.s. than china and all sorts of manufacturing deals here. >> what. >> transportation costs are lower. delivery to market is slashed. energy prices are much cheaper. your...
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Dec 11, 2012
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and china may be the number one economy soon. really? "varney & company" about to begin. >> right off the top, breaking news for you now. fox business learned that a group claimed to be aligned with terrorism is threatening to launch a massive attack against u.s. bank websites and made that threat in the fall and this is a new threat set to start this week, we hear. and a list of banks targeted includes j.p. morgan chase, bank of america, u.s. bancorp, pnc financial services and suntrust banks. more details when we've got them. the power and might of unions on display today and being tested. you will see huge protests at the state capital building in michigan where right to work legislation will be signed today. that means workers will be able to choose if they want to join the union. they will no longer be compelled to pay dues. here is the president speaking at a daimler factory in michigan yesterday. >> we do everything we can to encourage companies like daimler to keep investing in american workers. and by the way, what we shouldn't
and china may be the number one economy soon. really? "varney & company" about to begin. >> right off the top, breaking news for you now. fox business learned that a group claimed to be aligned with terrorism is threatening to launch a massive attack against u.s. bank websites and made that threat in the fall and this is a new threat set to start this week, we hear. and a list of banks targeted includes j.p. morgan chase, bank of america, u.s. bancorp, pnc financial services...
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Dec 7, 2012
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what's happening in china and japan is not any help. then you add on top of it what's coming out of washington. i don't think you should get your hopes up about figuring it out before the end of this year. i think there's a pretty deept chance we go over the cliff and then try to sort it out in the beginning of the year. >> lovely. >> joe, when did 146,000 jobs become good? have we become so pessimistic -- have our expectations come so low we're cheering 146,000 when we should be well over 200? >> plus the downward revisions for the previous two months. >> although, those revisions were almost all in government. mandy makes a good point. 150,000 a month, which has been the average over the past is a months or so, is not great. if this was a normal recovery, we'd be growing at 4% instead of 2 on gdp. employment would be well over 250. however, the good news in today's report was if you look at the household survey, there was clearly a hurricane effect in these numbers. we might actually have printed over 200 absent hurricane sandy. i wou
what's happening in china and japan is not any help. then you add on top of it what's coming out of washington. i don't think you should get your hopes up about figuring it out before the end of this year. i think there's a pretty deept chance we go over the cliff and then try to sort it out in the beginning of the year. >> lovely. >> joe, when did 146,000 jobs become good? have we become so pessimistic -- have our expectations come so low we're cheering 146,000 when we should be...
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Dec 17, 2012
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. >> in china. >> in china. with the second tier tellco player in china. they don't seen have to deal with the primary telco player which is china mobile. >> i'm going to fill in the blanks as we go. >> i feel like marvin lewis here. i guess i'm the straight guy again. in any event when they launch the iphone 5 more broadly they had 3 million units sold over a period of five days in multiple countries. here we are in one country. so the question is, number one, that couldn't have been your estimates, because apple didn't tell you that, and in your reanalysis, and number two, if they do sign the deal with china mobile, what's that do to your estimates and your outlook on the stock? >> so two things. one, yes, i think that 2 million unit number is good, and i think the language apple uses in the press release makes that very clear. with respect to china mobile, you have to look at it a couple of ways. apple already sells units on the china mobile network, just not officially through the network. peopl
. >> in china. >> in china. with the second tier tellco player in china. they don't seen have to deal with the primary telco player which is china mobile. >> i'm going to fill in the blanks as we go. >> i feel like marvin lewis here. i guess i'm the straight guy again. in any event when they launch the iphone 5 more broadly they had 3 million units sold over a period of five days in multiple countries. here we are in one country. so the question is, number one, that...
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Dec 18, 2012
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be cooling off going on in china. that exacerbated a selloff in the agriculture commodities and that translated to a selloff in gold and silver as well. what's interesting to note are some reports out from firms talking about what happened in commodities overall. so far this year we have seen losses overall for commodities sector. gold, though, has fared pretty well up 7% year-to-date. back to you, sue. >> thank you so much, sharon. let's bring in jeff kilberg. i know a lot of people are longer term quite bullish on gold. why are we see this pressure taking it apolo the 1700 mark. >> well, sue, i think we saw a knee-jerk reaction initially when boehner came out with plan b. that technically got the ball rolling to the downside. keep in mind one week away from christmas. these holiday markets you can really get pushed around. traders have to be aware on thin volumes. came down to the november 5th low, new low on the close, 1670. right now i think they are stripping out the inflation in gold and really focused on the fi
be cooling off going on in china. that exacerbated a selloff in the agriculture commodities and that translated to a selloff in gold and silver as well. what's interesting to note are some reports out from firms talking about what happened in commodities overall. so far this year we have seen losses overall for commodities sector. gold, though, has fared pretty well up 7% year-to-date. back to you, sue. >> thank you so much, sharon. let's bring in jeff kilberg. i know a lot of people are...
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Dec 10, 2012
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numbers came out saturday for china. i think italy has been remarkably good. so this was a big game changer. italy had been a part of the good story of european recovery. now it's back. >> all to monti was never intended to be there for the long term. >> sure. >> in fact, he may be leaving a month earlier than originally planned. this should not be a surprise in the larger context. while we may mention berlusconi's name right now, he's not expected to win. >> look, we knew that monti was successful. >> it may be whoever follows him is going to roll some of the gains that he's had. so-called gains. >> that's going to cause ripples here. look, on saturday night, i said, we're going to have a nice opening. china's good, people know that monti is not really going to hurt italy. i think if china continues the momentum, but the number -- >> the ex sports were less than expected in the month of november. which is a concern. then there's this perverse glass half full, that some data comes in lower, it might fuel the case for sti
numbers came out saturday for china. i think italy has been remarkably good. so this was a big game changer. italy had been a part of the good story of european recovery. now it's back. >> all to monti was never intended to be there for the long term. >> sure. >> in fact, he may be leaving a month earlier than originally planned. this should not be a surprise in the larger context. while we may mention berlusconi's name right now, he's not expected to win. >> look, we...
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Dec 10, 2012
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china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if we don't get that $45 billion a month program that actually creates money supply, i think you might see a little selloff. but i think it's priced in at this point. so i think we do have a big question mark here. but it may be answered this week. i think that's what traders are focused on. it's a big last three days after a quiet two days this week. >> i want to ask rick about that in a moment. you're in the camp that any deal of the fiscal cliff will be positive for the market at this point. right? >> any type of rhetoric coming out of washington, d.c. has put a bid
china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if...
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Dec 17, 2012
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not have distribution with the largest phone carrier, china mobile. they have distribution with unicomm. it looks great but not as good as what it did in the u.s. that's one reason. >> very quickly, on apple map debacle, how damaging was that? that was a slip, a big slip for them. >> yes, i think it was. a little bit after turning point for the company because its leadership in software for wireless was unquestioned. for the first time, users were saying, you screwed this up. >> you messed this up. >> yes. that sent a signal, they changed leadership. >> they had a reputation for doing everything right. this was an instance for where they did not. thank you. >> good to have you here. >> brian shablgtman. >> hard to talk about apple without talking about google. there are reports over the weekend this they are settling their search issue with the ftc. also interesting can comments about how they really believe that search with google will be more mobile than desktop on the year 2016. it is up $14.49. sue, to you. >> brian, thank you very much. we raise
not have distribution with the largest phone carrier, china mobile. they have distribution with unicomm. it looks great but not as good as what it did in the u.s. that's one reason. >> very quickly, on apple map debacle, how damaging was that? that was a slip, a big slip for them. >> yes, i think it was. a little bit after turning point for the company because its leadership in software for wireless was unquestioned. for the first time, users were saying, you screwed this up....
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Dec 18, 2012
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a year ago all the wise guys were telling us to avoid china because it was a house of cards. the course only grew more uniform through the summer and fall with the chinese market falling to multiyear lows. but in the last few weeks, china's economy bottomed during the summer as they were focused way too much on beating inflation. now it's become the best performer in the world, and i don't think you've missed the move which is why my trust has been buying an etf that mimics china. finally there's apple. we've become addicted to apple. we are deeply focused on its decline which continued in the a.m. today, taking out $500 right before the opening, while it rallied with the rest of the market into the bell. i'm sure some people feel it's now washed out. i for one welcome the shakeout. apple had gotten too hot. apple had become the only stock that people talked about, a sure sign it was overheated. the summer soldiers, the sunshine patriots, they're now headed for the hills. aided by analysts who can't take the pain and are anxious to distance themselves from a stock that they p
a year ago all the wise guys were telling us to avoid china because it was a house of cards. the course only grew more uniform through the summer and fall with the chinese market falling to multiyear lows. but in the last few weeks, china's economy bottomed during the summer as they were focused way too much on beating inflation. now it's become the best performer in the world, and i don't think you've missed the move which is why my trust has been buying an etf that mimics china. finally...
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Dec 14, 2012
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it's expensive. $850 in china, $650 here. you know, it's expensive for a lot of people in china. we're going to leave it there. thank you very much to will and john. >>> all right. on deck. the charity cliff. will your chart tanl donations be taken away from you if we go past january 1 with no deal? we're going to find out from one of the biggest charities in america coming up. >>> once again, everybody, this is a live scene. a look in newtown, connecticut, at an elementary school. sandy hook elementary. where nbc news says 18 children, 8 adults, plus the gunman have been killed at one of the worst school shootings in american history. we've heard some comments, john harwood, from jay carney, the white house spokesman sort of talked about it. can we expect an official statement or press conference from the president about this tragedy? >> i think it's likely we'll hear from the president, probably in person, if not in a written statement. what jay carney said on his behalf was that he, like every parent, expresses enormous sympathy for the tragedy that's going on in connecticut r
it's expensive. $850 in china, $650 here. you know, it's expensive for a lot of people in china. we're going to leave it there. thank you very much to will and john. >>> all right. on deck. the charity cliff. will your chart tanl donations be taken away from you if we go past january 1 with no deal? we're going to find out from one of the biggest charities in america coming up. >>> once again, everybody, this is a live scene. a look in newtown, connecticut, at an elementary...
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Dec 11, 2012
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we're bringing up apple in china. right now they're saying iphone 5 sales are running 50% ahead of what iphone 4 sales were in 2010. that's fairly significant if it turns out to be true. the source for that is macbook translating data from chinese. that's making the rounds. i think people are looking at this aspect of wait a minute. this is a whole growth market that maybe is not in all the -- people are bullish on the china story. but maybe not enough. i think that's giving it to credence here. >> stocks off session highs after those comments from speaker boehner. really, we're hanging in there truth be told. dow up 106 points. when "halftime" returns we zero in on the health of financial stocks from the floor and more companies announcing special dividends as the nation gets closer to the fiscal cliff deadline. deutsche bank top u.s. equity strategist david bianco tells us who can be next. >>> later, can amazon deliver more joy to investors as holiday crunch time takes a new level. shares up 45% this year. we debate
we're bringing up apple in china. right now they're saying iphone 5 sales are running 50% ahead of what iphone 4 sales were in 2010. that's fairly significant if it turns out to be true. the source for that is macbook translating data from chinese. that's making the rounds. i think people are looking at this aspect of wait a minute. this is a whole growth market that maybe is not in all the -- people are bullish on the china story. but maybe not enough. i think that's giving it to credence...
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Dec 12, 2012
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. >> fxi, china on the long side. >> that does it for us. catch the documentary tonight, behind closed doors at mariott, start at okay. >>> "halftime" is over. second half of the trading day starts now. >> absolutely. spend the night in a hotel with scott walker tonight at 9:00. ats he froo free. fed leaving interest rates the same but that's not the news. there is a new bond buying program and making an historic move keeping interest rates down low so long as unemployment rates stays above 6.5%. tying the rate it an economic trigger. an date. fed chief bernanke gearing up in about an hour's time. apple moving into your living room. yes, sir. tech tightian reportedly closer to testing several tv set designs. will it be the game-changer that so many have been waiting on? and you heard it here on cnbc. j.p. morgan's jamie dimon. taking about the fiscal cliff. do they expect a deal? their take on what happens if we do go over. my partner sue at the new york stock exchange. my partner sue with big interviewes this hour. >> that's right, ty. i sp
. >> fxi, china on the long side. >> that does it for us. catch the documentary tonight, behind closed doors at mariott, start at okay. >>> "halftime" is over. second half of the trading day starts now. >> absolutely. spend the night in a hotel with scott walker tonight at 9:00. ats he froo free. fed leaving interest rates the same but that's not the news. there is a new bond buying program and making an historic move keeping interest rates down low so long...
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Dec 6, 2012
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if china bounces back quicker than we anticipate, or if europe flattens out. we're optimistic next year. we want to make sure our clients are in this market. >> scott, good to have you on the program. >> all right. thanks, guys. >> you know, he's not alone. lots and lots of analysts are coming out with their forecasts for next year. pretty bullish. >> even morgan stanley, right? >> yeah, for once. all right. heading toward the close here with about 12 minutes left. the dow hanging on to a gain of about 30 points. >> the situation with anti-virus software pioneer john mcafee is going from strange to surreal. he's now in custody. now reportedly has had two heart attacks. we're going to tell you the latest on this bizarre and evolving story. >>> also, the ceo of accounting giant recently met with president obama. he say miss other ceos in that meeting agreed the tax rates for the wealthy have to rise as part of any fiscal cliff deal. he joins us exclusively later on "the closing bell." stay tuned. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- ♪ you can stay in
if china bounces back quicker than we anticipate, or if europe flattens out. we're optimistic next year. we want to make sure our clients are in this market. >> scott, good to have you on the program. >> all right. thanks, guys. >> you know, he's not alone. lots and lots of analysts are coming out with their forecasts for next year. pretty bullish. >> even morgan stanley, right? >> yeah, for once. all right. heading toward the close here with about 12 minutes left....
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Dec 12, 2012
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it was just announced that china surpassed the u.s. in patent applications just last year. the r & d tax credit goes to hiring and expanding our r & d research. that and obama care, obama care just hit us by 19.5%. our medical costs are going up next year by 19.5%. so what can we do? we'll have to adjust our costs and get them in line. we compete in the worldwide economy, and our costs are going up. >> how much did that loss of the r & d tax credit cost your company as well? >> it cost us about 2.5%, 2% on the bottom line. >> and if the r & d tax credit does not come back, how many people might you have to let go next year? >> so what we have is we've got the 2%, 2.5% that we lost in the bottom line and obama care hitting us by 19.5%. our costs are going to go up 19.5% next year, so we believe, we'll probably have to cut two or three people just to overcome the extra cost that's going to hit our business in 2013 so we've got obama care going through. we're going to take on half that cost and pass half of that on to our employees. think about that. that means that our middle
it was just announced that china surpassed the u.s. in patent applications just last year. the r & d tax credit goes to hiring and expanding our r & d research. that and obama care, obama care just hit us by 19.5%. our medical costs are going up next year by 19.5%. so what can we do? we'll have to adjust our costs and get them in line. we compete in the worldwide economy, and our costs are going up. >> how much did that loss of the r & d tax credit cost your company as well?...
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Dec 10, 2012
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we had better data out of china last week. household net worth increased by $1.7 trillion which was a big number for the fed. it says the bernanke policies are working. in terms of clients what they're doing, obviously there's a lot of clouds on the horizon short-term. but longer term, it's positive. so right now towards the end of the year what we've been seeing is a lot of accounts looking to take out short positions and stocks that have been hef sli shorted. so you've seen stocks like sears holdings, jcpenney, hewlett-packard, facebook, all those types of stocks that have a high short interest. since there's not a lot of clarity outside in terms of the fiscal cliff, they're going after those shorts and pressing them to the table. [ overlapping speakers ] >> -- quality dividends. if you see volatility happening, it's going to strong balance sheets. buy stability, protection, fundamentals. >> and remember that every central bank in the world is full bore in the mote. it's just a matter of time when that velocity picks up. we
we had better data out of china last week. household net worth increased by $1.7 trillion which was a big number for the fed. it says the bernanke policies are working. in terms of clients what they're doing, obviously there's a lot of clouds on the horizon short-term. but longer term, it's positive. so right now towards the end of the year what we've been seeing is a lot of accounts looking to take out short positions and stocks that have been hef sli shorted. so you've seen stocks like sears...
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Dec 21, 2012
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china ma and japan. and i think you can start to nibble a little on china and japan, as well. >> michael, is there an argument to be made that you don't want to touch stocks right now until you have some clarity on this fiscal cliff? just in case we see a big sell-off? >> there is, but i'll argue, too, that you're talking about $600 billion being sucked out of the economy next year. the s&p made $20 trillion. while we are looking at the fiscal cliff countdown, there is another countdown to new all-year highs when the dow is close to the prior peak around 600% from here. investors should be looking overseas. you want to look where there is no fiscal cliff equivalent, primarily in emerging markets. but nonpartisan analysts have pointed out that if we go over the cliff and take that $600 billion with it, we go back to recession. how do you justify going into stocks and going into all-time highs if we go back to recession? >> that assumes all else being equal, the problem is you look at europe, it's recoveri
china ma and japan. and i think you can start to nibble a little on china and japan, as well. >> michael, is there an argument to be made that you don't want to touch stocks right now until you have some clarity on this fiscal cliff? just in case we see a big sell-off? >> there is, but i'll argue, too, that you're talking about $600 billion being sucked out of the economy next year. the s&p made $20 trillion. while we are looking at the fiscal cliff countdown, there is another...
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Dec 6, 2012
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china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is changing, but changing doesn't necessarily mean it's going somewhere negati negative. it's just going to be a different type of opportunity. >> well said as always, josh. but you also probably made the case for the capital gains sale excuse that a lot of people have been throwing out there. >> it's up 40% this year versus an s&p that's up closer to 10%. don't be shocked. everyone owns it. >> tony is right, ecosystem is worth a great deal of money. if you split up the iphone, i-mac, the iphone, it wouldn't be the s
china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is...
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Dec 12, 2012
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they love coal in china. i don't want to make a judgment on whether that's -- but they are huge coal plant builders there. huge. >> an important one to watch. we'll talk about a bunch more after the break. what does goldman have to say about the state of the economy. we'll get that exclusive a little bit later in the show. costco, as we said, set to open higher after that better than expected number. will other retailers follow suit. we'll get the answer when the opening bell rings in just about 4 1/2 minutes. if you think running a restaurant is hard, try running four. fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from ch [ male announcer ] this is steve. he loves risk. but whether he's climbing everest, scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the market, he goes with
they love coal in china. i don't want to make a judgment on whether that's -- but they are huge coal plant builders there. huge. >> an important one to watch. we'll talk about a bunch more after the break. what does goldman have to say about the state of the economy. we'll get that exclusive a little bit later in the show. costco, as we said, set to open higher after that better than expected number. will other retailers follow suit. we'll get the answer when the opening bell rings in...
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Dec 14, 2012
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and china, they played hard ball in china. anybody who has played hardball in china has not succeeded. like google. first amendment, you know, tiananmen square. what's the first amendment in china, i don't think it's free speech. >> i don't think so. >> interstate commerce is as powerful as anything. >> tear down a neighborhood at any moment. >> another $156 million shares eligible for social, the social network rallied after last month's expiration and shares up 25% since the middle of november. november 14th, we went into it thinking we'd get hurt. it ended up 12.6% that day, up 250. >> it did decline prior to that, in anticipation of the expiration. >> after a big run. it's got to digest. again, this is an interest per share situation. things are done at facebook that would justify the stock going higher. the short base was gigantic. do you sense a big run? >> i think the dynamic did change after the last quarter. and the discussion you talked about, we talked about it a great deal, what the trends really appeared to be in
and china, they played hard ball in china. anybody who has played hardball in china has not succeeded. like google. first amendment, you know, tiananmen square. what's the first amendment in china, i don't think it's free speech. >> i don't think so. >> interstate commerce is as powerful as anything. >> tear down a neighborhood at any moment. >> another $156 million shares eligible for social, the social network rallied after last month's expiration and shares up 25%...
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Dec 16, 2012
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. >> and will it be in china? will the iphone make it in china? >> i got up this morning and turned on cnbc. >> of course you did. >> one dude was at the shanghai store in line waiting for the iphone 5. >> there are a lot of pre-orders. but the question is, will they get china mobile? that's 80% of the smart phone users in china. that's a big question. >> how long have we been waiting for apple tv? >> we could be waiting for months more. >> john has the latest on a developing story between apple and walmart. john? >> yeah, melissa. big news today that kind of slipped under the radar. that's that walmart is discounting apple products way more than we could have expected. the iphone 5 starting today, the entry level iphone 5 down to $127. normally, at most outlets, $199. the new ipad, the fourth generation ipad, starting monday is going to be at $399, plus they'll throw in a $30 itunes gift card. i've been trying to make calls to figure out what the nature is of this promotion. what i gathered is this isn't something apple is pushing at all which pr
. >> and will it be in china? will the iphone make it in china? >> i got up this morning and turned on cnbc. >> of course you did. >> one dude was at the shanghai store in line waiting for the iphone 5. >> there are a lot of pre-orders. but the question is, will they get china mobile? that's 80% of the smart phone users in china. that's a big question. >> how long have we been waiting for apple tv? >> we could be waiting for months more. >> john...
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Dec 10, 2012
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i do think you are definitely seeing some momentum pick up in china. and some of the nonbelievers are starting to become believers. and the data over the weekend was pretty compelling. other than the trade data and the export data, which i think people are expecting it to be a little bit soft given what's going on in the global world. but you look at retail sales and industrial production at new eight-month highs, i think that's very encouraging. fxi and industrials. >> i knew that was true when steve weiss said he was buying the fxis. >> i was smiling. >> manufacturing is clearly retrenched with the concerns surrounding the fiscal cliff. we see that, all the numbers, you have to believe a little certainty. manufacturing comes back. the material space, which is so tied to the chinese growth. i think that's in particular a sector you could look at. i think you could even, and i'm warming up to something that i haven't liked all year, but you could even look at the steel space and some of those names in there, and i think that would be a focus area. >> w
i do think you are definitely seeing some momentum pick up in china. and some of the nonbelievers are starting to become believers. and the data over the weekend was pretty compelling. other than the trade data and the export data, which i think people are expecting it to be a little bit soft given what's going on in the global world. but you look at retail sales and industrial production at new eight-month highs, i think that's very encouraging. fxi and industrials. >> i knew that was...
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Dec 15, 2012
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china is overwhelmingly coal fired. they get another $5 million a year or so from trading in the space. what i would expect to see is some increasing of their mining revenues. >> two parts. the actual stock and the trade. >> i have no view on the stock. the fundamental picture that's set up in the relativeness to the shanghai i think is very interesting. i like the trade structure. if you're prepared to get along at 24, going to take some margin. >> it is. this is a trade that really gets the math working for you because you're short that put. if you're willing to buy the stock down there, it's a great way, no cost. nothing out-of-pocket to do that. >> one more time on the stocks verses options button. want to buy peabody, convinced it's a good china play? $28 a share. in mike's option, mike could be forced to buy it at $24 or about a 14% discount. we'll see carter later on in the show. got a question out there, send us a tweet at cnbc options. we'll answer it right after the show on our new website. yes, options action
china is overwhelmingly coal fired. they get another $5 million a year or so from trading in the space. what i would expect to see is some increasing of their mining revenues. >> two parts. the actual stock and the trade. >> i have no view on the stock. the fundamental picture that's set up in the relativeness to the shanghai i think is very interesting. i like the trade structure. if you're prepared to get along at 24, going to take some margin. >> it is. this is a trade that...
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Dec 17, 2012
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still sold iphones in china eye poen is 51% of apple's total revenue. you cannot understate or overstate the importance of that. >> the best first week of sales ever. >> if you weren't seeing the hobbit, you were buying an iphone. or beth. a both /* both. you were tweeting about the hobbit on your new iphone. >> john the day john forte has been salivating about for hours. the end of january, here in new york city. stock, look at the recent run, by the way. up more than 50% in about 30 trading days. led us to ask the question, is everything fine? >> that's a u shaped recovery. look that. a perfect u. >> it spp what do you say, john? is research in motion back, baby? >> no, not yet. >> i tried. >> i know. it doesn't take much to make me salivate today because all i've had to eat is a protein bar. blackberry 10 is exciting. but we still don't know exactly what is coming there yet. couple things. for the quarter report willing tomorrow, revenues are about half. if they meet expectations, or if they meet a little, they are expecting an eps loss of 35%. secon
still sold iphones in china eye poen is 51% of apple's total revenue. you cannot understate or overstate the importance of that. >> the best first week of sales ever. >> if you weren't seeing the hobbit, you were buying an iphone. or beth. a both /* both. you were tweeting about the hobbit on your new iphone. >> john the day john forte has been salivating about for hours. the end of january, here in new york city. stock, look at the recent run, by the way. up more than 50% in...
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Dec 3, 2012
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china. not bad. 50.6. that's the highest in seven months. although shanghai again trades lower even europe's pmi improves a touch in november. first up, we're one month away from the fiscal cliff and so far the white house and congressional republicans are still in disagreement over how to reduce the deficit and avoid a raft of tax hikes and spending cuts. yesterday our own jim cramer and maria bartiromo were on "meet the press" and cramer had a message for fellow panelists and father of the anti-tax pledge, grover norquist. >> most ceos are republican. they're on board. they're not on board with you. they're not on board with you because they fear your view. they think you do not favor going -- you favor going over the cliff. that's what they think. they think that you favor -- >> just for the record since we're on tv. that's silly if they think that they shouldn't be ceos. >> it doesn't really matter. that's what they think. >> i want you to walk me up to that moment. >> behind the record.
china. not bad. 50.6. that's the highest in seven months. although shanghai again trades lower even europe's pmi improves a touch in november. first up, we're one month away from the fiscal cliff and so far the white house and congressional republicans are still in disagreement over how to reduce the deficit and avoid a raft of tax hikes and spending cuts. yesterday our own jim cramer and maria bartiromo were on "meet the press" and cramer had a message for fellow panelists and father...
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Dec 3, 2012
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market is fear about china. but i would rather play it from some of the quality industrials where i feel there could be some other things that helped them whether it's -- you know, u.s. housing and other things, not just pure china plays. >> adam, it's simon. going into next year, i think no one will argue taxes are going to go up at some rate. historically, dividend type stocks have underperformed. do you still feel good about them? >> i do. because it's different this time. i mean, it's been well communicated, well documented. everyone knows that that's an issue. in fact, we don't think it's possible the dividend taxes won't rise the amount that's in the law. right? so if you look last week, for example, utilities were the best p performing sector in the market, up 3.35% last week. i think you can get a relief rally if they do change the law. and more over all the the other things that are compelling about them, whether low payout ratios or compelling yield versus the bond market or in fact the most cynical bu
market is fear about china. but i would rather play it from some of the quality industrials where i feel there could be some other things that helped them whether it's -- you know, u.s. housing and other things, not just pure china plays. >> adam, it's simon. going into next year, i think no one will argue taxes are going to go up at some rate. historically, dividend type stocks have underperformed. do you still feel good about them? >> i do. because it's different this time. i...
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Dec 26, 2012
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it's not in china play. no, they have a small percentage of their sales in china and some tourist business here so you can forget about that, but even if it were, china sales are down. >> and i think we're saying the same thing in essence. my belief is, look, they're coming after this consumer discretionary spending. they came after the luxury end. they came after coach. there's not much juice to squeeze out. on the other side of that that gives the potential for coach to rally. >> i'd rather go to nordstrom. i'd rather play the luxury end. >> why nordstrom? >> i'm not counting on coach and coeurs. the high end consumers, there are have i few places for them to go in terms of broad line. >> the high end consumer rolls over altogether both you guys lose? >> absolutely. what i'm saying is that you're going to lose less. in the luxury space i mentioned before tiffany, i think the benefit that you have with tiffany, this is another name that you could play, is you've got that exposure to the potential recovery i
it's not in china play. no, they have a small percentage of their sales in china and some tourist business here so you can forget about that, but even if it were, china sales are down. >> and i think we're saying the same thing in essence. my belief is, look, they're coming after this consumer discretionary spending. they came after the luxury end. they came after coach. there's not much juice to squeeze out. on the other side of that that gives the potential for coach to rally. >>...
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>> china remains a major issue for apple and tim cook seems to have a ready answer for it. why can't you be a made in america company? >> this iphone, as a matter of fact, the engine in here is made in america. and not only are the engines in here made in america, but engines are made in america and are exported. the glass on this phone is made in kentucky. so we've been working for years on doing more and more in the united states. next year, we will do one of our mac lines in the united states. >> let's say our constitution was a little different and barack obama called you in tomorrow and said, get everybody out of china and do whatever you have to do, make these, make everything you make in the united states. what would that do to the price of this device? >> honestly, it's not so much about price. it's about the skills, et cetera. over time, there are skills that are associated with manufacturing that have left the view out. >> cook says apple has already created more than 600,000 jobs here in the u.s., that includes everything from research and development to retail t
>> china remains a major issue for apple and tim cook seems to have a ready answer for it. why can't you be a made in america company? >> this iphone, as a matter of fact, the engine in here is made in america. and not only are the engines in here made in america, but engines are made in america and are exported. the glass on this phone is made in kentucky. so we've been working for years on doing more and more in the united states. next year, we will do one of our mac lines in the...
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Dec 15, 2012
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and go to cambodia and they still have the skulls, if you want to, you can go see them, and you go to china and you see what's happened in various places. it all comes back to one thing. it all comes back to there is an evil in the universe and you can't stop it. you can't stop it. we have to deal with it. we just have to deal with it. >> this young man, adam lanza, woke up and he killed his mother. why did he kill his mother? we don't know. maybe he thought his mother was paying too much attention to the children. maybe it was something as -- >> bill: we don't want to speculate tonight. >> as crazy as that. after she's dead, he then drives to her classroom. how best to savage your mother than to go and kill the children she cared for, that she nurtured, that she taught. and my brother craig was there all day. he saw a scene where all the parents collected their children, the surviving children, and the governor at some point says, those who haven't collected their children, there are no more children to collect. they are inside, the forensics are still ongoing. they were at the fire house.
and go to cambodia and they still have the skulls, if you want to, you can go see them, and you go to china and you see what's happened in various places. it all comes back to one thing. it all comes back to there is an evil in the universe and you can't stop it. you can't stop it. we have to deal with it. we just have to deal with it. >> this young man, adam lanza, woke up and he killed his mother. why did he kill his mother? we don't know. maybe he thought his mother was paying too much...
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Dec 28, 2012
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all of those things lead us to be believers in the china story. on europe we've been early and big believers in the draghi road map. yes they're in a mild recession. we think they come out of it in the second half. >> which is why i'm going more toward the second half. >> but the debt markets, the sovereign credit markets we think remain stable. and u.s. equities are more correlated to the spanish and italian bond yields than they are to european gdp. we likehe european influence next year. >> let's say your focus is more on the united states right? if you're buying stocks, you believe your thesis that we're going to get to 1550 at a minimum consumer discretionary is tops on your list the second best performing sector this year behind financials. you think that continues to work why? >> we've seen profit taking on the cliff but by the same token this is an area that has the most to gain if we get a cliff deal and that is our base case. we also like industrials. there we don't think the china recovery and the better tone in europe are fully priced.
all of those things lead us to be believers in the china story. on europe we've been early and big believers in the draghi road map. yes they're in a mild recession. we think they come out of it in the second half. >> which is why i'm going more toward the second half. >> but the debt markets, the sovereign credit markets we think remain stable. and u.s. equities are more correlated to the spanish and italian bond yields than they are to european gdp. we likehe european influence...
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Dec 1, 2012
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there's been demand storiologist the export side from countries around china that sell into china that have been recently good. so i think there's a reason to be hopeful that we're going to see an uptick here. longer term, no question, chinese consumers are going to be more favorably inclined to buy goods that are made in china. but i don't think we expect to see a very sharp shift on that right now in the next couple of months. >> susie: you don't think this is going to impact the companies that have a china strategy? we hear from so many companies like starbucks or marriott hotels who say china is going to be their biggest market long-term outside of the united states. do you think that they're on track to continue with that policy, despite the bumps along the way? >> yeah, i think the big story here is really going to be the urbanization story. i mean the expectation that the chinese government has is really azing. they expect $300 million people are going to move from rural areas to urban areas within china over the next 20 years. if that happens the way the government expects it's
there's been demand storiologist the export side from countries around china that sell into china that have been recently good. so i think there's a reason to be hopeful that we're going to see an uptick here. longer term, no question, chinese consumers are going to be more favorably inclined to buy goods that are made in china. but i don't think we expect to see a very sharp shift on that right now in the next couple of months. >> susie: you don't think this is going to impact the...
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Dec 13, 2012
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goldman noting quote that recent soft china same store sales and resulting uncertainty provide a good entry point, shares of yum down more than 6%. >> inflexion point. doesn't that say it somewhere? >> inflexion? >> china, inflexion point. >> they need antibiotics. >> no, not that kind pf. >> oh, not that kind of one. >> so the stock will move based on increasing internal consumption. >> so you like the upgrade? >> i like the upgrade. >> jason is upgrading vera bradley. nice bags. very nice. we expect top line and continue that margin are are at a positive inflexion point. >> forget the inflexion point on this one. >> i think is concerning stock for me. they have been guiding revenue on see things down. they have a problem with inventory. i'm not a fan of this stock. >> the bagses, though. nice bags. >> they are nice bags. we will get you one for christmas. >> good to see you, man. all right. sue? >> you guys are having way too much fun up there without me. i'm getting jealous. let's go to sharon epperson. gold market down more than 20 degrees, below the 17 mark. sharon, how does it l
goldman noting quote that recent soft china same store sales and resulting uncertainty provide a good entry point, shares of yum down more than 6%. >> inflexion point. doesn't that say it somewhere? >> inflexion? >> china, inflexion point. >> they need antibiotics. >> no, not that kind pf. >> oh, not that kind of one. >> so the stock will move based on increasing internal consumption. >> so you like the upgrade? >> i like the upgrade....
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Dec 21, 2012
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i want to bring it to your attention, the issue is the fact that the food and safety authorities in china were testing chicken that was supplied to cfc restaurants for excessive antibiotics there. the finding by the shanghai food and drug administration is, of course, a blow to kfc's reputation in china. they are already experiencing a lot of competition there. the update on this story is that yum has since issued a statement saying that they are cooperating with the government's review of these two poultry suppliers, and as such they do not anticipate to see a shortage of product supply. as you can see from the chart, we were down about 4% from yum. >> all right, thank you so much. we are waiting on president obama's statement on the state of negotiations in washington. the president is meeting right now with majority leader harry reid. they're meeting now, and at 5:00 p.m. eastern we are told the president will make a statement, which we will carry live for you right here on cnbc. keep it here as we take you live to the white house with the president. coming up, my observation on what t
i want to bring it to your attention, the issue is the fact that the food and safety authorities in china were testing chicken that was supplied to cfc restaurants for excessive antibiotics there. the finding by the shanghai food and drug administration is, of course, a blow to kfc's reputation in china. they are already experiencing a lot of competition there. the update on this story is that yum has since issued a statement saying that they are cooperating with the government's review of...
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Dec 18, 2012
12/12
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you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to go up too much and they can't have it go down too much because it will hurt the bank. so we're in a holding pattern. they are looking to liberalize the overall economy. you've seen the stock market rally. that's based on the assumption that growth is stabilizing and, more importantly, i think the new administration is going to try to do liberalize and the message is, don't expect us to lower rates to try to reduce growth. that's what they did in the past that created bubbles and issues. i think what they are going to try to quietly do is stabi
you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to...
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Dec 13, 2012
12/12
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china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both sides. if they actually let this thing, not gust get through december 31st and do nothing about it. think about it. can president obama get anything done until he gets something, no? >> all the cuts that happened as a result of the fiscal cliff, all over the place. let's cut hundreds of billions in defense. it doesn't indicate what missions are going to be no longer what, programs we're going to kim. i mean, we really have to be stupid to be doing that. >> so irresponsible. >> not knowing where the cuts are hitting. >> right. >> for the security of this country. >> i agree. >> so, therefore, you're going to get
china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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decent data out of china. define beautifully. now we're back about 1700 for gold, but where does it go for here? >> you can see gold over the next year we could see it very definitely outperforming equities to the tune of two to 3%. if equities put in a positive year next year, which would be a bit of a surprise given the historical data that would support a negative performance and given the fact industrial production is sweeping in the eu, gdp in the u.s. has hardly been status. it seems to be with guidance what is is in earnings what they are, i think you could see gold definitely outperform equities two to three multiples. if the fed continues its current policy of supporting risk. david: which they probably will. let me reach on backend because following commodities as close as anybody. john, what do you think of that, is it conceivable in 2013 we may see commodities, particularly cold do better than or maybe even twice as well as equities? >> i think there's little doubt that will happen, david. i would throw into the argum
decent data out of china. define beautifully. now we're back about 1700 for gold, but where does it go for here? >> you can see gold over the next year we could see it very definitely outperforming equities to the tune of two to 3%. if equities put in a positive year next year, which would be a bit of a surprise given the historical data that would support a negative performance and given the fact industrial production is sweeping in the eu, gdp in the u.s. has hardly been status. it...
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Dec 24, 2012
12/12
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people talk about china, middle east. i tell you, latin-america positive for us. we will continue to expand into that part of the world. and we talk about return on investment capital, it has been good for us. >> you look at a place like brazil, similar mentality as america as their sentiment is skyrocketing. >> true and there are great airlines. when you look at the largest airline, copa in panama, these are some really solid airlines. there are good things happening in latin-america. >> talk to us about pricing. survey from price line.com show air fairs are 4% higher this december compared to december 2011. is that true at jetblue? this s this a function of less capacity or are more people flying. >> i would share with price line that the inflation adjuster is down 14%. air fares are still a good bargain. we won't talk about forward pricing into 2013. when you talk capacity, gdp, cost cost of oil, everything goes into what drives pricing but i think price line is looking at the last year. let's look to 2000. airlines are still a good bargain. >> as a business ex
people talk about china, middle east. i tell you, latin-america positive for us. we will continue to expand into that part of the world. and we talk about return on investment capital, it has been good for us. >> you look at a place like brazil, similar mentality as america as their sentiment is skyrocketing. >> true and there are great airlines. when you look at the largest airline, copa in panama, these are some really solid airlines. there are good things happening in...